Predictions for Elsa Jacquemot — Alina Charaeva

This semifinal may turn on what Jacquemot has left in her legs. After the Wrexham final, she has won three straight three-setters in Courmayeur, losing the first set each time; her first two matches here lasted more than five hours. Before the quarterfinal, she was already talking about her physical reserves.

Charaeva had a day without a match before her quarterfinal and beat Marina Bassols Ribera 6-4, 6-4. She also came back from a dreadful first set against Knutson by finding her range again. At 1.60, Charaeva to win is worth backing: she has the fresher platform to keep pressure on if Jacquemot needs another slow start.

The catch is Charaeva’s uneven level: she lost at Rovereto and Wrexham before this Courmayeur run. Neither player has a reported injury, so this is about workload and recovery, not a fitness diagnosis.